Mitt Romney held off a quartet of social conservatives to
capture second place in the Iowa Caucuses . This will enhance his standing as
the front runner in New Hampshire, now just one week away. Santorum, Gingrich,
Perry and Bachmann all captured more than 10% of the vote and as a result will
likely stay in the race a bit longer. This of course is exactly what Mitt
Romney wanted. The longer the field stays intact the sooner he can put the nomination away.
I fully expect to see many articles like this come Wednesday
morning. There will be other methods of discrediting Ron Paul’s victory in
Iowa, some creative, some not so much. Some well-disguised, but most will be
completely transparent efforts. The question at this point is not whether he
wins, but whether he wins by enough that ignoring it is impossible.
My Iowa prediction;
Ron Paul – 30%
Mitt Romney – 20%
Santorum, Gingrich, Perry, Bachmann will all score 11 to 15 percent
and none will be damaged so badly that they drop out. This will benefit Romney,
but it benefits Paul more.
No comments:
Post a Comment